In my opinion, there are 4 teams capable of winning this weekend.
The playing conditions make this a very tough contest to pick but I they and the suspension of Samoa’s Lolo Lui make it just a little bit easier.
Fitness and Depth
I believe it will come down to fitness in the end as the top teams are required to play 4 games on day one to appease the NBC TV schedule. At other tournaments teams would only play 3 games on Day#1.
Squad depth will come into it as well. Team selections in the round robin matches will be crucial. As will recovery over night.
Resting the right players so that when it comes to the quarter finals, the best teams can execute the right game plan will be the telling factor in Las Vegas.
Las Vegas is physically demanding because of the narrow pitch. Teams need to go into contact more than they might otherwise.
By Day#2 there will only be 4 teams left in the championship and only 1 game to win to make the final.
Fiji

Fiji, Plate winners in Wellington in 2011
With their expansive, classic style of play, Fiji really struggled last year in Las Vegas.
They generally lack experience without William Ryder, Osea Kolinisau, Sonny Roko and Pio Tuwai.
Fiji got closed down by Australia last year and without a different style, it will happen again this year.
Samoa
I believe the Samoans will struggle without an experienced ball player in their side.

Samoa have devastating forwards but it's the link to their backs that is their challenge
Their forwards will take a lot of stopping but I believe they lack the link-man required to capitalize on the breaks up the middle to release the talented outsides that they posses.
Australia
The re-built Australian side did extremely well in Wellington last weekend.
They will be very tough to beat in Las Vegas. They played a very well thougt out game plan last year and will do the same this time around.

Commentator Greg Clarke and Michael O'Connor
Michael O’Connor is an astute coach who will have worked out the tactics he believes are required to win in Las Vegas.
It just remains to be seen whether his young side have tue talent to pull it off. That said, few would have picked them to do as well as they did in Wellington.
I believe Australia are worth a bet this weekend.
New Zealand
The Kiwis won last week and so will be very confident going into the USA leg of the series.
That said they are without their stalwart captain DJ Forbes who has an injury.

New Zealand capain D J Forbes is not in Las Vegas in 2011
They have a vastly experienced coach in Gordon Teitjens but the side is very young and inexperienced.
New Zealand will go close but it remains to be seen whether they will have what it takes down the stretch.
England
The English remain the team to beat in my opinion.
They are a class outfit, well prepared and with good tactical nous.
They have real pace out wide and the best sevens player around in Ben Gollings.

Ben Gollings & John Brake
Their point of vulnerability is in their forwards.
The playing surface at Sam Boyd Stadium is very narrow and there are question marks as to whether the English forwards can create enough opportunities up the middle form their outsides to take advantage of.
South Africa
The South Africans were without their most experienced player in Wellington. Cecil Afrika was recovering from injury but is back this week.
His return will bring confidence to a solid outfit.

Frankie Horne will be a key player for South Africa in Las Vegas
They are well balanced and could easily win this tournament.
































The next issue with the USA Sevens – bending to suit TV schedules
Filed under Commentary, IRB Sevens Series, USA by Maru on February 6, 2011 at 11:48 pm {no comments}The playing field at Sam Boyd stadium in Las Vegas is 12 metres narrower than the playing fields at every other tournament on the IRB World Sevens Series.
The narrow playing field at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas
This poses huge tactical challenges for teams as they must adjust both attacking and defending strategies to cope with the difference.
Classical sevens rugby involves moving the ball and using the width of the field to gain an advantage. The best teams avoid contact rather than look or it. Fiji are probably the best example, Kenya are another.
A New Challenge
The draw for the USA Sevens has been changed to accommodate the wishes of TV broadcasting. All teams will now play 4 matches on Day#1.
And the Championship Final will be played before the finals for the Plate and Bowl.
The teams playing in the final will receive sufficient rest time after their semi-finals because these are scheduled prior to the semi-finals for the plate and bowl.
TV Rules
The NBC televising the USA Sevens is seen as a huge step for the game in the USA (and maybe the world).
Olympic inclusion came first, then a greater focus in the developing rugby nations.
But there is a cost
American sports have evolved to meet commercial interests.
The NBA shortened the attacking possession by 6 seconds and banned the most effective means of defense (the zone). The game of Basketball is very different to that played by the rest of the world.
Sevens is already in an advertising-friendly format with 7 minute halves and breaks in between each match.
Scheduling is the next issue and the USA Sevens this year will be the first trial of a TV-friendly format.
Let’s hope the Americans viewers like it!
And what does it mean for he game if they do?