Day #1 Highlights – Wales Beat Fiji

As everyone likes to point out, Wales are the Rugby Sevens World Champions having won the World Cup in Dubai in 2008 but their fortunes haven’t been good since then.

Wales are on their way back

I thought they played well against Fiji in Las Vegas. But it was difficult to tell whether the narrow playing field had anything to do with it because Fiji really struggled at Sam Boyd Stadium, losing to Australia and South Africa after winning the tournament in Wellington the week before.

On that occasion the Welsh defense was well organised and the team played with real commitment.

That said, Wales lost the match and I assumed Fiji would re-group for Adelaide. There has been 2 big Sevens tournaments in Fiji since the USA Sevens and they have had time to exorcise the demons of Sam Boyd Stadium.

But Wales were able to build from their performance in Las Vegas and go one better in Adelaide.

This was no fluke

Fiji were awarded a try early in the game that should never have been given. Replays clearly showed that the ball was never grounded.

The way the game was panning out, it was one of those times when you worried that a bad call was going to determine the outcome rather than the athletes on the field.

To their credit, Wales played on but went 2 tries down shortly after when Roko split the defense on the cut-back to make it 12-0 to Fiji.

Then Wales came back with a well-worked try to Justin Tipuric and almost scored another on the half-time whistle but went into touch before getting over the line.

Momentum remained with the Welsh after the break. Chris Morgan scored from a series of plays that were built on the second half re-start. The scores were level at 12-12.

Fijian star Osea Kolinisau was sin-binned for a professional foul and Wales were able to score from the overlap to lead 17-12 and that’s how it finished.

There will be celebrations among the Welsh fans and over night soul searching for the Fijians.

Justin Tipuric is one to watch for Wales. He featured in each of the 3 tries and looked elusive all game.

Josh Drauniniu back for England

England were supposed to have 2009 Player of the Year Ollie Phillips for the Adelaide and Hong Kong tournaments but he suffered an injury that will keep him out.

Josh Drauniniu

Josh Drauniniu back for England

But England welcome back their Fijian-born star, Josh Drauniniu.

Drauniniu scored the winning try against New Zealand in the final of the Wellington Sevens in 2009.

England looked sharp in a training match against Fiji and so will be full of confidence going into the first round on Friday night.

With Phillips and Drauniniu joining Ben Gollings and co, England would have been a good chance to win the event so it will be a good contest to se whether they can do it without Phillips.

South Africa suffer further injury blow

South Africa’s Sevens captain, Mzwandile Stick is out of the Adelaide and Hong Kong IRB World Sevens Series events.

South Africa were convincing winners of the 2008-09 IRB World Sevens Series. They won 3 of the 8 tournaments and set new standards in Sevens play.

Mzwandile Stick, South Africa

Mzwandile Stick, South Africa

But competition in the Sevens game is particularly tight and injuries to key players can be devastating. This is the main reason why South Africa find themselves in 7th place on the overall standings.

The injury toll for the top teams going into Adelaide

South Africa
- [long-term] Neil Powell, Renfred Dazel and Paul Delport

- Mzwandile Stick
- Marius Schoeman

New Zealand
- Sherwin Stowers

England
- Ollie Phillips

Australia
- Clinton Sills
- Brian Sefanaia
- Bernard Foley

Most Sevens programmes are fluid by nature. Players come in and out on a year by year basis.

Sevens is only semi-professional so a lot of the best Sevens players are lured by professional contracts in the 15-a-side code.

How long will it be before a professional team snaps up Mikaele Pesamino?

New Zealand Sevens coach Gordon Teitjens waits to see who he has to work with before developing any strategies, tactics or playing philosophies.

This is just how it is.

But injuries are the unseen factor that add another level of uncertainty and disruption.

New Zealand prepare for Adelaide without Stowers

The New Zealand Sevens team assembled at Blake Park in Mount Maunganui to prepare for the Adelaide Sevens. The team leave on Monday for the Australia and Kong Kong legs of the World Sevens Series.

Video snippet form Day One


Fast Tube by Casper

Things were turned up on Day Two as coach Gordon Teitjens put the squad through their paces.


Fast Tube by Casper

New Zealand’s fastest player, Sherwin Stowers is still nursing the achilles he injured in Las Vegas and remains in serious doubt for Adelaide.

Sherwin Stowers

Sherwin Stowers remains in doubt for the Adelaide Sevens

On a more positive note, Save Tokula had his suspension shortened on appeal. He was originally suspended for 6 matches following a high tackle in New Zealand’s Quarter Final at Las Vegas. He now has just 2 matches to sit out after having the suspension reduced to 4 matches.

He sat out the Semi-final and final, which would have left 4 further matches, making it near impossible for coach Teitjens to select him for Adelaide because he would only become available in the semi-final (whichever one the Kiwis found themselves in).

Now, Tokula could play in New Zealand’s final round robin match against Argentina.

Save Tokula

Save Tokula, glad to be training with the New Zealand 7s team in their build-up to the Adelaide Sevens

Tokula was a key strike weapon in the first 4 events in the series thus far. He is sure to feature in coach Gordon Teitjens tactics and he endeavours to win the Adelaide and Hong Kong tournaments.

Also positive for New Zealand was the sight of Solomon King in training. He will not be ready until the final 2 tournaments in London and Edinburgh but was getting around the training ground very well.

Solomon King

Experienced forward Solomon King is back in training following surgery earlier in the year

Australia have 3 out for their home tournament

Sadly for hosts Australia, they will be without 3 of their key players for the Adelaide Sevens.

Speedster Clinton Sills; Brian Sefanaia and the hard-working Bernard Foley are all out with injury.

The Kiama Sevens may have unearthed some new talent and provided valuable match practice, but it has cost Australia 3 experienced and valuable players.

Sam Latunipulu coms into the squad after a strong performance in Kiama and he will need to hit the ground running in his first World Series Event.

Pat McCutcheon

Australian Sevens captain, Pat McCutcheon will be feeling the pressure

That said, they will still be a force on their home turf.


Fast Tube by Casper

First Round Matches to watch in Adelaide

Day #1
Each team plays just once on day one in Adelaide. The top 2 seeds do not play each other until the end of Day #2 but there are 2 matches that look particularly interesting.

Argentina v Tonga
Argentina have had a mixed series thus far. They are not the same team without an in-form Santiago Gomez Cora. Argentina lost in the first round in Las Vegas to Japan and then again in the semi-final of the bowl to the United States.

Tonga are not part of the ‘core 12′ teams in the series but they played in the New Zealand tournament and are a capable side that will more than match the physicality of the Pumas.

England v USA
This will be a real test for the USA to gauge their progress against what will be a very strong English side. The English welcome back the 2009 World Series Player of the Year, Ollie Phillips. Phillips is certain to play on day one and will be keen to prove himself in a very competent England team.

USA Sevens

The United States came within 2 points (and an unlucky call) of beating Fiji in Las Vegas

The USA won the Bowl at the last 2 tournaments. In Las Vegas, they beat Argentina and just lost to Fiji by 2 points. They have been progressing very well so this will be the real test of their stature.

Day #2

France v Japan

Japan Sevens Rugby

Japan beat Argentina and Canada in Las Vegas

Japan and France should be well matched.

Japan are not part of the 12 core teams but they went well in Las Vegas. They were very well organised and got up to beat Argentina in their last pool match after losing their first 2.

They then beat Canada to make it to the final of the shield.

France made the Bowl final in the last 2 tournaments. They have some real pace but have never threatened the top teams.

Scotland v Tonga
Scotland were well-beaten in their last match in Las Vegas by Chile.

Tonga have a lot of power. Scotland are likely to have greater fitness being part of the 12 IRB core teams. This should be an exciting match-up.

The top 8 seeded teams play the last 4 matches of the day.

Samoa v South Africa
This will test the development of the South African team. They are undergoing a rebuilding of sorts, still without their 09 captain and ….

Samoa will be full of confidence after their win in Las Vegas.

Fiji v Kenya
This match will be a test of both Fiji’s resilience and Kenya’s progress. Kenya had no answers to the physicality of Samoa in the pool match in Las Vegas. Things will be different on the wide open spaces of the Adelaide Oval but they could favour Fiji more than Kenya.

(AtTheSevens Pick of the Day) England v Australia
When it comes to sport, there is no love lost between the mother country and the land down under. The Ashes cricket trophy matches are testament to the rivalry.

Australia

Australia had their best result in 2 years in Las Vegas making the semi-finals

Ollie Phillips is back for England and Australian confidence is rising so this should be a great game.

Can anyone beat the top 3 in Adelaide?

New Zealand, Samoa and Fiji have been the best performed teams in the series so far and it is hard to see any other team winning the championship in Adelaide.

In order for a team to win, they will need to beat at least 1 (and more likely 2) of these top 3 teams.

In the four tournaments so far this series, the only team outside of the top 3 to beat one of the top 3 is Australia and they may be one team that could win in Adelaide.

The other team who may cause an upset in Australia is England. Ollie Phillips is back and he could provide the spark to take them all the way. England won 2 tournaments last year but have failed to kick on so far this season. Phillips could help to change their fortunes in Adelaide.

The Form Guide

i. Samoa

Samoa

Samoa have momentum going into Adelaide

Samoa will be the favourites. They have the form and momentum going into the Adelaide Sevens.

They appeared to come through Las Vegas unscathed by injury or suspension and so should have their impressive compliment of players available. That includes their dynamic duo of Lolo Lui and Mikaele Pesamino, and their hard working leader Uale Mai. They will be confident from their well-deserved win in Las Vegas.

ii. New Zealand

New Zealand Sevens

The New Zealand Sevens team are a tight unit

New Zealand has  been the most consistent team in the series so far.

They have injury and availability challenges to over come. The injury to Sherwin Stowers appears to be serious and Save Tokula has to sit out 5 more matches of his 6 match suspension.

DJ Forbes is a great leader who bounced back from an average performance in Wellington to be at his best in Las Vegas.

New Zealand have a vastly experienced coach, expert in talent identification so I expect Gordon Teitjens to have his players in top physical and mental condition.

iii. Fiji

Fijian playmaker, Kolinisau

Fijian playmaker, Kolinisau

Fiji will bounce back from their disappointing performance in Las Vegas. They could probably write it off as not suiting the narrow playing field at Sam Boyd Stadium.

There are 2 major Sevens events held in Fiji between the USA and Australian legs of the IRB World Sevens Series and so plenty of competition and fitness-enhancing opportunities.

I also expect to see more of dynamic wing William Ryder in Adelaide. I believe he still has a lot of give the game of Sevens despite defensive frailties and Adelaide will suit him perfectly.

Playmaker Kolinisau was relatively quiet in Las Vegas but will be back to his best in Adelaide.

iv. Australia

Australia also have momentum from their Plate win in Wellington and semi-final finish in Las Vegas. They beat South Africa in both tournaments and turned the tables on Fiji. They also had very solid performances against New Zealand and Samoa.

Confidence, home advantage and competition for Commonwealth Games spots will give the Australians all of the incentive they need.

V. England

Ben Gollings has the experience, the track record and the talent, and he also has super quick outsides in Matt Turner and Christian Wade.

Also, England will have Ollie Phillips back, the 2009 Sevens player of the year. Phillips has been playing his club rugby in France and has therefore not been available to the same degree as English-based players.

It will be very interesting to see how England Coach Ben Ryan uses the second playmaker but England were very effective with both Gollings and Phillips last season when they won the New Zealand and England tournaments.

Don’t discount

South Africa

Departures from the 08-09 side have left South Africa a little underdone but guys like Cecil Afrika have really stepped up. This is a well-drilled outfit with speed on the outsides capable of scoring from long range. They won the Plate in Las Vegas and will be there-abouts in Adelaide.

5 Reasons why Australia will be a force at the Adelaide Sevens

In Las Vegas, the Australian team made the semi-finals for the first time in 2 years in and IRB World Sevens Series event.

This was no fluke – Australia are back!

The reasons why they will do well in Adelaide are

  1. Australia can execute a game plan
    Australian rugby players have good discipline. They play with patience and accuracy. This 7s team adapted to the conditions in Las Vegas very well. They were the only team to push Samoa, narrowly losing a tight semi-final 14-12.
    They will be confident that they can beat Samoa on home turf
  2. Australia are building a winning culture
    Australia won the Plate in Wellington the week before, beating last year’s winners South Africa 26-22.

    Australia

    Australia win the Plate at the New Zealand 7s in Wellington, beating South Africa 26-22

    In Las Vegas they beat Fiji convincingly in the quarter final, winning 28-7

  3. Australia have a well-balanced team
    Clinton Sills

    Australian Speedster, Clinton Sills

    Coach Michael O’Connor has done a wonderful job moulding his team of young players. They have a great finisher in Clinton Sills and some hard-working forwards.

    Sills tends to come off the bench, providing speed and and a winger’s appreciation for the try-line.

    Sills now has 17 tries in the series putting him in 6th equal spot on the season’s try scoring table.

    Kimami Sitauti was in devastating form in Las Vegas. He seemed to break the line at will, proving opportunities up the middle.

  4. Home Advantage
    Australia will not feel the pressure of home expectation in Adelaide – They will translate that into motivation.Any Australian team playing at an international level on home soil will perform – it’s just the way they are.
  5. Competition for Commonwealth places
    There has been talk in the media about the potential additions that could be made to the Australian squad for the Commonwealth Games in October (Ione, Giteau, etc). This will provide additional motivation for the current squad who will not want to miss out on going to the Games where Australia will boast a huge contingent.

There are four tournaments to play and I’m picking that this team will make at least one final.

Has New Zealand got replacements for Souness, Tokula and Stowers?

Injuries and suspension may cause a re-think in the New Zealand camp going into the Adelaide and Hong Kong events.

New Zealand were without 3 of their 7 starters for the USA Sevens final in Las Vegas last weekend.

Save Tokula and Ben Souness

Save Tokula and Ben Souness did not play the final in Las Vegas

Save Tokula was suspended for 6 matches for a high shot in their semi-final against Kenya while Ben Souness injured an ankle and Sherwin Sotwers an archillies in what was a fateful semi-final win for the Kiwis.

This is a critical time in the World Sevens Series. The USA event is the halfway mark with 4 tournaments to go (Adelaide, Hong Kong, England, Scotland).

New Zealand remain at the top of the table on 84 points, leading Samoa by 14 with Fiji just 2 points behind them on 68.

Momentum is with Samoa, who narrowly lost the Wellington final to Fiji and were convincing winners of the USA event in Las Vegas.

The Adelaide Sevens is just over 4 weeks away which doesn’t give New Zealand coach Gordon Teitjens much time to re-build his squad.

Tokula has only served one of the 6 game suspension so it is assumed he will not be going to Adelaide – should New Zealand make it, he would only be allowed to play in the final so not much value taking him over another player.

I would assume that a replacement will be brought in for Adelaide but Tokula will be re-instated for Hong Kong the week after.

The replacements

While it is not yet known how serious the injuries are to Sherwin Stowers and Ben Souness, we speculate on their potential replacements.

Toby Arnold, Bay of Plenty and New Zealand Sevens

Toby Arnold made a big contribution to Bay of Plenty's success in NZ's national tournaments

Toby Arnold for Sherwin Stowers

Toby Arnold is the only other speedster in the broader squad but he is not in Stowers’ class.

Arnold played in the Dubai and George events, coming off the bench. He made significant contribution for his province, Bay of Plenty in the New Zealand national sevens events over summer (they came second at the nationals).

Leka Topuola for Ben Souness

The other forward in the squad is Leka Topuola from Wellington. He is new to the international scene and would be somewhat of an unknown quantity.

?? for Save Tokula
Tokula will be the difficult one because he provides the rare combination of both speed and strength and Teitjens doesn’t really have that among the 4 players who round out the training squad of 16.

Tokula was instrumental in New Zealand’s defeat of South Africa in the Quarter finals of the USA Sevens last week in Las Vegas. The Vegas field was 12 metres narrower than the standard international rugby pitch and this made for more physical confrontations where Tokula thrives.

Waikato-based ex-pat Fijians, Henry Speight and Frank Halai fit the bill in but both may be a bit raw for the big-time.

I would expect coach Gordon Teitjens to broaden the squad when training resumes in 2 weeks time to make up for the players who are in doubt for Adelaide as a precautionary measure.

The candidates
Forwards candidates include Edwin Cocker who played in the 2008-09 series and seems to have gotten over a recent injury that affected his performance in the NZ National Sevens in Queenstown in early January.

New Zealand regular, Solomon King is recovering from surgery and latest reports are that he was making good progress. He was in attendance but not training in the camp before the Wellington Sevens so we will wait and see what happens there.

In the backs, after Arnold, there is not a lot of pacey Sevens players of genuine international class in New Zealand so Taranaki’s Beauden Barrett make be given an opportunity.

Coach Teitjens is a master of un-earthing Sevens talent. He found Jonah Lomu at high school, playing on the side of the scrum at Wellesley College in South Auckland.

He also discovered Doug Howlitt, Christian Cullen, Rodney Soialo, Chris Masoe, Tafai Ioasa, Karl Tenana, Tanerau Latimer and Corey Jane.

If anyone can find the players required, it is Gordon Teitjens.

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